VTE Recurrence (HERDOO2): Validated rule to identify low-risk women. Men with unprovoked VTE are inherently high-risk and are not eligible for rule-out.
1. Biological Sex
2. HERDOO2 Points (1 pt each)
Recurrence Risk Result
Low Risk
Management Insight
Consider Stopping Anticoagulation
Recurrence rate < 2% per year. Safe to discontinue therapy.
Guidelines & Evidence
Clinical Details
Section 1
When to Use
When to Use
Identifying women with a first unprovoked Venous Thromboembolism (VTE) who have a low risk of recurrence.
Deciding whether anticoagulation can be safely discontinued after the initial 3-6 month treatment period.
The 'Males Always High' Rule
The HERDOO2 rule is only applicable to women. Men with unprovoked VTE are considered high-risk for recurrence (regardless of these points) and usually require indefinite anticoagulation.
Section 2
Formula & Logic
Point Allocation (1 pt each)
Post-thrombotic signs: Hyperpigmentation, Edema, or Redness in either leg.
D-dimer: ≥ 250 µg/L (drawn while on anticoagulation).
Obesity: BMI ≥ 30 kg/m².
Older age: Age ≥ 65 years.
Risk Stratification (Women Only)
Score
Risk Class
Recurrence Rate
0 - 1
Low Risk
~1.6% per year (Safe to stop)
≥ 2
High Risk
> 8% per year (Continue VKA/DOAC)
Section 3
Pearls/Pitfalls
Unprovoked Pivot
The biggest challenge in thrombosis is deciding who needs lifelong therapy. HERDOO2 provide a validated escape-clause for roughly 50% of women with unprovoked events, sparing them the risk and cost of long-term DOAC therapy.
Section 4
Evidence Appraisal
Primary Strategy
Identifying unprovoked venous thromboembolism patients at low risk for recurrence who can discontinue anticoagulant therapy.